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🩸BEARISH

Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Outflow Since June at $487M

The reversal puts October flows $165.6M in the red after September’s $2.65B inflow, weakening a key source of demand as Bitcoin tests support.

Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Outflow Since June at $487M
Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Outflow Since June at $487M
Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Outflow Since June at $487M
Bitcoin ETFs Post Biggest Outflow Since June at $487M

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $487.1 million in net outflows on Wednesday, their largest daily withdrawal since June 25, according to SoSoValue. The funds had drawn about $2.65 billion in September, but October flows have turned negative by $165.6 million so far, with the past six sessions alternating between inflows and outflows.

Why it matters

The outflow was unusually large relative to recent activity: it came in 2.1 standard deviations below the average daily flow over the past 90 days, which was roughly $92 million in inflows. The funds have attracted a net $717 million this year, a thin positive balance after cumulative flows reached a $5.76 billion deficit in July. Since spot ETFs began trading in January 2024, cumulative net inflows stand at $57.33 billion.

ETF demand was a major source of buying during the August-September rally. Its recent loss of momentum leaves Bitcoin more exposed to competing pressures, including volatile Treasury notes and concerns that U.S.-Iran tensions could push oil prices higher.

Market impact

Bitcoin was trading around $83,000 near the lower end of its recent consolidation. A sustained break below support could put $80,000 in view and weaken the bullish stair-step pattern. FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich identified $80,500-$81,500 as a key area, encompassing last month's local highs and the 50-day moving average.

How Bitcoin behaves there may shape the next move: bargain buying could support a retest of prior highs, while forced selling by leveraged buyers could deepen losses. Kuptsikevich cited $76,000 and $72,000 as lower levels to watch in that scenario. The ETF outflow adds pressure, but the response around support remains a key test.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. How large were Wednesday's U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows?

    The funds recorded $487.1 million in net outflows, their largest daily withdrawal since June 25.

  2. How have spot Bitcoin ETF flows changed from September to October?

    The funds drew about $2.65 billion in September, while October flows are down $165.6 million so far.

  3. What support levels did Alex Kuptsikevich identify for Bitcoin?

    The FxPro analyst identified $80,500-$81,500 as a key area, encompassing last month's local highs and the 50-day moving average.

  4. Which lower Bitcoin price levels could come into view if buyers capitulate?

    Kuptsikevich cited $76,000 and $72,000 as potential lower levels if leveraged buyers capitulate.

  5. How much net inflow have spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded since launch?

    Cumulative net inflows since the funds began trading in January 2024 stand at $57.33 billion.

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