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🩸BEARISH

IBIT Drove 94% of $1.28B Bitcoin ETF Outflows in Five Days

Fidelity's FBTC stayed positive and three other funds did too, but the ex-IBIT group still finished red. Tuesday's CPI print is the next checkpoint for whether ETF demand broadens.

IBIT Drove 94% of $1.28B Bitcoin ETF Outflows in Five Days
IBIT Drove 94% of $1.28B Bitcoin ETF Outflows in Five Days

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) accounted for $1,210 million of the $1,282 million in net outflows from the 12 US spot Bitcoin ETFs tracked by Farside Investors during the November 2-6 trading week, a 94.4% share of the category's retreat. IBIT recorded withdrawals in each of the five sessions, and the group finished positive only once, on November 4. Friday closed the week with another $412 million in net outflows.

Why it matters

The week was not a uniform exit. Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) took in $93 million, and three other funds also ended the week positive, so the picture was more uneven than a universal flight from Bitcoin funds. But funds excluding IBIT collectively still posted net outflows of $72 million, meaning the positive products could not offset the largest withdrawal source or establish renewed aggregate demand.

Redemption mechanics also matter when connecting flows to selling. IBIT's prospectus allows both cash and in-kind settlement, and Farside's net-flow figures do not disclose which route funded the week's withdrawals, so the numbers cannot be read as an equivalent amount of open-market Bitcoin selling or a proprietary call by BlackRock. IBIT reported net assets of about $61 billion as of November 6, putting the week's withdrawals at roughly 2% of the fund.

Market impact

Bitcoin traded near $75,759 at 10:44 UTC on November 8. The October CPI release lands Tuesday, November 10 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, giving ETF flows a macro checkpoint: Monday's session offers one more pre-release observation, and subsequent sessions test whether IBIT's withdrawals slow. Smaller IBIT outflows alongside a negative aggregate would show redemption pressure easing at the category's largest fund; positive aggregate flows, sustained across funds and sessions, would be the first stronger evidence that ETF demand is broadening again.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. How much did IBIT account for of last week's Bitcoin ETF outflows?

    IBIT recorded $1,210 million of the $1,282 million in weekly net outflows from the 12 tracked US spot Bitcoin ETFs during November 2-6, a 94.4% share. It posted withdrawals in all five sessions.

  2. Did every Bitcoin ETF lose money to outflows that week?

    No. Fidelity's FBTC recorded $93 million in weekly inflows and three other funds also finished positive, but funds excluding IBIT collectively still posted net outflows of $72 million.

  3. Do ETF outflows mean Bitcoin was sold on the open market?

    Not necessarily. IBIT allows both cash redemptions, where the trust sells bitcoin, and in-kind redemptions, where bitcoin is delivered to an authorized participant. Farside's data does not disclose which route was used.

  4. How large were the outflows relative to IBIT's size?

    IBIT reported net assets of about $61 billion as of November 6, so the week's $1.21 billion of withdrawals amounted to roughly 2% of the fund's asset base.

  5. What macro event could shift Bitcoin ETF demand next?

    The October CPI release is scheduled for Tuesday, November 10 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Monday's ETF session offers a final pre-release observation, and subsequent sessions test whether fund demand broadens.

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