Polymarket gives 61% odds on Anthropic IPO at $1.8T…

Prediction markets are now pricing a 61% probability that Anthropic, the AI safety company behind the Claude model family, goes public at a $1.8 trillion valuation. That figure would make it one of the largest tech IPOs in history and place Anthropic's market cap in the same tier as established mega-cap technology companies.

Anthropic has been one of the most heavily funded private AI labs in the world, having raised billions from Amazon and Google among others. A valuation at this level reflects the market's conviction that frontier AI model developers can command multiples far beyond traditional software companies.

For crypto and macro investors, an Anthropic IPO at this scale would be a significant signal for the broader AI capital cycle — validating the thesis that foundation model builders, not just infrastructure or application layers, can sustain outsized public-market valuations.