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🩸BEARISH

Riot's $9.1B Anthropic Deal Sinks Bitcoin Hash Rate

Riot joins IREN, TeraWulf, Wolf, Cipher and Hut 8 in a sector-wide rotation pulling ~10% of Bitcoin's hash rate offline since October, locking capital into a 20-year AI build-out instead of mining.

Riot Platforms has signed a 20-year, $9.1 billion compute deal with Anthropic, the largest single anchor in a wave of Bitcoin miners pivoting their power and data-center capacity toward AI infrastructure. The agreement marks Riot's full departure from pure-play Bitcoin mining: the company was one of three miners still branded pure-play into this year, alongside earlier AMD-related work and a sector-wide rotation that already includes IREN, TeraWulf, Wolf, Cipher, and Hut 8. Riot shares ticked up roughly 1% on the news and are up 54% year-to-date.

Why it matters

The mining-to-AI rotation is now a sector-wide capital allocation story. Per commentary in the report, around 30% of listed miners' revenues are already coming from AI compute, with projections that share could climb to 70–75% by year-end based on announced contracts. The 20-year deal term locks Riot into AI compute build-out rather than hash-rate expansion for the duration.

Bitcoin's hash rate has fallen roughly 10% from its October peak, with more hash power coming offline in the last 10 months than the network saw in its first 13 years of existence. Mining difficulty is the natural counter-pressure. As hash rate falls, blocks become easier to find, and at some price level mining becomes a no-brainer again, the pattern after every prior bear market, including 2018 and the 2021 China-mining ban.

Market impact

For Bitcoin, the short-term read is bearish for narrative: a flagship miner just told the market its best 20-year use of compute is not mining BTC. The longer-term read is more nuanced. Mining economics self-correct through difficulty, and if AI compute keeps pulling marginal hash power offline, the surviving miners will eventually earn more per unit of work until new entrants return.

Strategy is the counterpoint on this tape. The company's CEO told Fox Business it carries 4% leverage, $2.7 years of dividend coverage, and $55 billion of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, with MSTR up 42% since the firm began buying in August 2020 against Bitcoin's 33%. Long-duration holders are still adding while miners are leaving.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. How big is Riot's deal with Anthropic?

    Riot Platforms signed a 20-year compute deal worth $9.1 billion in revenue, the largest single anchor in a wave of Bitcoin miners pivoting their data-center capacity to AI infrastructure.

  2. Which other Bitcoin miners have pivoted to AI?

    IREN, TeraWulf, Wolf, Cipher, and Hut 8 have all shifted at least part of their capacity toward AI compute this year, with Riot now joining them after earlier AMD-related work.

  3. How much has Bitcoin's hash rate fallen?

    Bitcoin's hash rate is down roughly 10% from its October peak, with more hash power coming offline in the last 10 months than the network saw in its first 13 years of existence.

  4. Why might the hash rate drop reverse?

    Mining difficulty self-adjusts: as hash rate falls, blocks become easier to find, and at some price level mining becomes profitable enough to draw miners back onto the network, the pattern after every prior bear market including 2018 and the 2021 China ban.

  5. What is Strategy saying about its Bitcoin holdings?

    Strategy's CEO told Fox Business the company carries 4% leverage, $2.7 years of dividend coverage, and $55 billion of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, with MSTR up 42% since August 2020 against Bitcoin's 33%.

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Aggregated from Altcoin Daily · Verified · Last refreshed 3h ago
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