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🔥BULLISH

Crypto funds draw $1.2B as Fed decision looms

Three straight weeks above $1B in product inflows and $933M into Bitcoin look structural — but Glassnode's $4.4M/hr realized-profit reading means the FOMC is the trigger that decides whether this…

Crypto funds draw $1.2B as Fed decision looms
Crypto funds draw $1.2B as Fed decision looms
Crypto funds draw $1.2B as Fed decision looms

Crypto investment products recorded $1.2 billion in inflows last week, capping three straight weeks above $1 billion and a fourth consecutive positive week, according to CoinShares. Bitcoin took $933 million of that total, Ethereum added $192 million, and the US accounted for $1.1 billion of regional demand. Total assets under management climbed to $155 billion — the highest reading since Feb. 1, though still 41% below the October 2025 peak of $263 billion.

Why it matters

The streak is corroborated across channels that don't usually move in lockstep. CME's average daily crypto volume rose from 191,000 to 310,000 contracts year over year in Q1, with open interest up 25% to 313,900 contracts — a sign capital is staying in the marketplace rather than churning through it. Strategy filed for another 3,273 BTC bought during Apr. 20-26, lifting its stack to 818,334 BTC at an aggregate $61.8 billion cost basis, while Hong Kong's Bitfire targets over 10,000 BTC for a regulated Alpha BTC strategy and Avenir held $908 million of BlackRock's IBIT at year-end 2025. The geographic spread — US corporate treasuries, regulated Asian asset management, and global product wrappers all buying at once — gives the demand recovery a structural quality a single weekly report could not.

Market impact

The setup is directionally real but fragile. Glassnode's Apr. 22 report placed Bitcoin back above the True Market Mean at $78,100, with the short-term holder cost basis at $80,100 now serving as immediate resistance, and over 54% of recent buyers sitting on profit at that level. Short-term holder realized profit spiked to $4.4 million per hour, nearly three times the $1.5 million hourly threshold that marked prior local tops this year. Coinbase spot activity — the primary US institutional venue — stayed muted while Binance's CVD drove much of the recent buying, leaving the bid less anchored than the headline inflow figure implies. Farside's daily data makes the same point: nine straight positive sessions surpassing $2 billion, then a single-day reversal on Apr. 27. The Apr. 28-29 FOMC is now the first hard test — a benign pass lets the bid re-accelerate, while a hawkish surprise hands sellers the external trigger they need to act on those elevated profit readings.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. How much did crypto investment products pull in last week?

    Crypto investment products recorded $1.2 billion in inflows for the week, the third straight week above $1 billion and the fourth consecutive positive week, according to CoinShares. Bitcoin took $933 million and Ethereum added $192 million.

  2. Where is total crypto AUM relative to its October 2025 peak?

    Total assets under management climbed to $155 billion, the highest since Feb. 1, but still 41% below the October 2025 peak of $263 billion, leaving significant unwound institutional exposure above current levels.

  3. What is the key technical level for Bitcoin right now?

    Bitcoin has reclaimed the True Market Mean at $78,100, per Glassnode's Apr. 22 report, with the short-term holder cost basis at $80,100 acting as immediate resistance. Over 54% of recent buyers sit on profit at that level.

  4. Why is the Apr. 28-29 FOMC meeting the next major test?

    CoinShares explicitly tied current investor caution to the FOMC decision window, and Glassnode's data shows profit-taking risk is elevated. A benign pass removes the macro headwind; a hawkish surprise would hand sellers an external trigger to act on those profit readings.

  5. What makes this demand recovery look structural rather than a one-off?

    The signal converges across CME derivatives volume, corporate treasury accumulation (Strategy, Bitfire, Avenir), global product inflows, and a $320.7B stablecoin market cap — multiple channels moving in the same direction rather than a single-venue anomaly.

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