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XRP tests $1.18 resistance as ETF inflows fade

The price chart looks constructive, but nine straight weeks of ETF inflows have slowed to roughly $12M last week. Without re-acceleration, the technical setup risks fading into the $1.12 floor.

XRP climbed from around $1.11 to $1.14 over the past week and briefly tagged resistance near $1.16 before easing back, leaving buyers staring at a $1.16 to $1.18 ceiling that has capped every advance since the early-July breakout. The earlier move past $1.14 came on a noticeable volume jump, which is now the benchmark traders use to judge whether any follow-up breakout is real.

Why it matters

The price action is forming a textbook cup-and-handle pattern: the breakout from the $1.14 area established the cup, the consolidation since July 21 looks like the handle, and the $1.16 to $1.17 neckline is the trigger. Lighter selling volume during the pullback suggests profit-taking rather than aggressive distribution, and support is clustered at $1.12 to $1.13, with a stronger floor near $1.05 if that band fails.

The interesting wrinkle is on the flow side. XRP investment products just printed a ninth consecutive week of net inflows, totaling roughly $17.2M cumulatively. The latest weekly figure, however, slipped to about $12M, which means institutional demand is still positive but no longer accelerating. MVRV data adds a second lens: 30-day and 365-day readings sit in negative territory, meaning a large share of holders are underwater, a setup some contrarian buyers treat as accumulation fuel rather than a warning.

Market impact

The CLARITY Act and the broader US regulatory outlook are the catalysts that decide which side of $1.18 wins. Clearer rules could re-accelerate institutional flows and unlock the $1.32 zone, then $1.46; delays risk leaving XRP to chop inside the $1.12 to $1.18 range while momentum traders wait for a fresh macro signal. A daily close below $1.12 on rising volume would break the handle and put the $1.05 floor in play.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. What is the key resistance level for XRP right now?

    The immediate ceiling sits between $1.16 and $1.18. A decisive daily close above $1.18 opens the path toward $1.32, with $1.46 as the next resistance if momentum holds.

  2. Where is XRP support if the price pulls back?

    The first support cluster is $1.12 to $1.13, where recent lows have attracted buyers. A stronger floor sits near $1.05, which comes into play if selling pressure intensifies and the handle setup fails.

  3. What do the latest XRP ETF inflows show?

    XRP investment products have posted nine consecutive weeks of net inflows, totaling roughly $17.2M cumulatively. The most recent weekly figure slowed to about $12M, meaning demand is still positive but no longer accelerating.

  4. How does the CLARITY Act affect XRP's price outlook?

    Clearer US rules under the CLARITY Act could strengthen institutional conviction and support another leg higher. Delays or weaker-than-expected progress may keep traders cautious despite the recent price recovery.

  5. What does negative MVRV data suggest about XRP holders?

    Negative 30-day and 365-day MVRV readings indicate many holders remain underwater. Some contrarian investors interpret this as an accumulation opportunity rather than a warning sign.

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