Bitcoin's price on July 4 has tracked a decade of dollar appreciation, from $683 in 2016 to a peak of $108,000 in 2025, before retracing to $62,000 in 2026.
The historical closes: 2016: $683 2017: $2,601 2018: $6,599 2019: $11,198 2020: $9,179 2021: $35,287 2022: $19,293 2023: $30,901 2024: $58,600 2025: $108,000 2026: $62,000
What the chart shows
The decade-long arc maps the major cycles: a roughly 10x move from 2019 to 2021 as the post-COVID liquidity wave hit risk assets, a sharp 45% drawdown in 2022 as the Fed tightened into the failures of Terra and FTX, and a recovery through 2024's spot ETF launch into a 2025 peak. The 2026 close at $62,000 is the first July 4 to print below the prior year's level since 2018, a 43% year-over-year drop that reflects the cooling of the post-ETF bid.
Why it matters
Independence Day is a fixed calendar anchor, which makes the series a clean seasonality snapshot rather than a moving target. Year-over-year comparison strips out intra-year volatility and shows whether BTC is gaining or losing real ground. Eleven years of closes also show the asset's downside has been meaningful but bounded: the largest July 4 dip, 2022, still printed above the 2021 level, an indicator of structural accumulation through bear markets.
Frequently asked questions
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What does a fixed-date BTC series show?
Independence Day is a fixed calendar anchor, so the series strips out intra-year volatility and gives a clean year-over-year comparison of whether BTC is gaining or losing ground across cycles.
CoinTelegraph