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Ledn: Bitcoin-Backed Lending Could Hit $1T in 5–10 Years

Ledn co-founder Mauricio Di Bartolomeo projected the bitcoin-backed lending market could grow to $1 trillion over the…

Ledn co-founder Mauricio Di Bartolomeo projected the bitcoin-backed lending market could grow to $1 trillion over the next five to 10 years, arguing that securitizing BTC-collateralized loans into investment-grade bonds is the only way to attract the institutional capital the sector needs to scale.

The pitch lands with a real data point behind it: Ledn estimates it now originates roughly 30% of the global bitcoin-backed lending market, booking $1.4 billion in loans during 2025. Earlier this year the company priced what Di Bartolomeo called the first bitcoin debt instrument rated by S&P Global — an investment-grade bond, with Fidelity as custodian and Jefferies as bookrunner. The deal was three times oversubscribed despite being marketed during February's correction, with Di Bartolomeo noting that investors saw zero loan defaults through the drawdown.

Why it matters

Di Bartolomeo framed the bond thesis around a balance-sheet constraint: no single lender can carry the liquidity to support a $1 trillion market on its own books, so the answer has to look like mortgage and auto securitization, where roughly 60% to 70% of mortgages and about 25% of auto loans are packaged and sold as bonds. Bitcoin-backed lending has historically relied on bilateral institutional credit lines and a handful of centralized desks — a structure that collapsed in 2022 when Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager Digital, and Genesis all went under. An S&P-rated, Jefferies-run bond issuance is a structurally different product, aimed at pension funds and endowments that can only buy investment-grade debt.

The significance is the buyer pool, not the size. The bid behind spot BTC ETFs and Strategy-style preferred-stock instruments is one set of investors; a rated, securitized BTC-collateralized bond addresses a different mandate entirely, and Di Bartolomeo's read is that the demand is latent — investors he met during the February drawdown had never bought a bitcoin instrument before, but the live stress test is what closed them.

Market impact

Di Bartolomeo said the market needs deals of at least $200 million with a credit rating to be meaningful, a bar most current bitcoin lenders cannot clear.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. What did Ledn's co-founder actually say about a $1 trillion bitcoin-backed lending market?

    Mauricio Di Bartolomeo projected the bitcoin-backed lending market could grow to $1 trillion over the next five to 10 years, arguing that no single balance sheet can carry that much liquidity and that securitization into investment-grade bonds is the only viable path.

  2. How big is Ledn in the bitcoin-backed lending market today?

    Ledn estimates it originates roughly 30% of the global bitcoin-backed lending market, booking $1.4 billion in loans during 2025. The company issued Canada's first bitcoin-backed loan in 2018.

  3. What is the S&P-rated bitcoin bond Ledn priced?

    Earlier in 2026 Ledn priced what co-founder Di Bartolomeo described as the first bitcoin debt instrument rated by S&P Global. The investment-grade bond used Fidelity as custodian and Jefferies as bookrunner, and was three times oversubscribed despite being marketed during February's correction.

  4. Why does securitization matter for bitcoin-backed lending?

    Di Bartolomeo pointed to mortgage and auto markets, where roughly 60% to 70% of mortgages and about 25% of auto loans are securitized and sold as bonds, as the model. Packaging BTC-collateralized loans similarly would let lenders tap the multi-trillion-dollar asset-backed securities market and attract institutional…

  5. What is the main risk to the securitization thesis?

    The 2022 wave of crypto-lender bankruptcies — Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager Digital, and Genesis — is the historical counterweight. Securitization does not eliminate counterparty risk, it redistributes it, and the rating methodology on a still-volatile collateral pool is the key variable to watch.

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