Prediction markets now price a 64% probability that President Trump signs comprehensive crypto market structure legislation into law before year-end — a meaningful shift from the low-odds baseline that defined the last two congressional cycles.
Market structure legislation would clarify which digital assets fall under SEC versus CFTC jurisdiction, a foundational question the industry has been fighting in courts for years. A signed bill would give exchanges, issuers, and institutional desks the regulatory certainty needed to deploy capital and product roadmaps with confidence.
With a crypto-friendly White House and a more receptive Congress, the window is seen as genuinely open — though floor scheduling and Senate dynamics remain the key variables to watch.
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