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Stablecoin Wallets to Cut Bank Revenue Share to 69% by 2030

Banks' revenue share is forecast to drop from 80% to 69% by 2030 as stablecoin wallets win the payments corridor first, while credit, custody and compliance stay bank territory.

Stablecoin Wallets to Cut Bank Revenue Share to 69% by 2030
Stablecoin Wallets to Cut Bank Revenue Share to 69% by 2030
Stablecoin Wallets to Cut Bank Revenue Share to 69% by 2030
Stablecoin Wallets to Cut Bank Revenue Share to 69% by 2030

Stablecoin wallets are chipping away at the traditional bank account's role as the primary place consumers hold and move money, according to a new Bain report. The consulting firm projects banks' share of consumer financial revenue will slide from 80% today to 69% by 2030, down from 95% in the early 2000s, with neobanks and now stablecoin wallets driving the erosion.

Industry executives framed the shift less as a bank extinction and more as a rewiring. Payments is the wedge: World Bank data cited by Marcin Kazmierczak, co-founder of oracle network RedStone, puts the average cost of bank remittances at 14.99% versus a 6.36% global average, while stablecoin transfers settle in seconds for under 1%. Bain expects wallets to take share in payments first, leaving savings, credit, custody and compliance as bank territory.

Why it matters

The structural question is whether wallets replace the bank account or become a layer on top of it. Ryne Saxe, CEO of crypto wallet company Eco, called the endgame "one simple balance that's always earning, with universal addresses, no more account and routing numbers, and passkey-style login." Bain data from BVNK reinforces the integration read: 77% of crypto users in 2026 said they would open a stablecoin wallet through their existing bank or fintech rather than self-custody one.

BitGo Bank and Trust COO Jody Mettler said banks still anchor custody, compliance and consumer protections that wallets do not replace. Ran Goldi, SVP of payments at Fireblocks, expects banks to issue tokenized deposits interoperable with stablecoins rather than watch the account disappear, a path Alvin Kan of Bitget Wallet summarized as the account "compiling to code."

Market impact

The winners read as incumbent banks that build stablecoin rails early, fintechs that wrap wallets on top of regulated deposits, and wallet providers who win the payments layer in high-friction corridors. The losers are banks that treat stablecoins as a competitor rather than infrastructure.

Frequently asked questions

  1. What is Bain forecasting for banks' share of consumer financial revenue?

    Bain projects banks' revenue share will fall from 80% today to 69% by 2030, down from 95% in the early 2000s, as neobanks and stablecoin wallets capture payments first.

  2. Why are stablecoin wallets winning over bank accounts in payments?

    Remittances through banks cost an average of 14.99% versus a 6.36% global average, while stablecoin transfers settle in seconds for under 1%, making them far cheaper for cross-border flows.

  3. Will stablecoin wallets replace savings, credit and custody too?

    Industry executives expect wallets to take share in payments first, while banks keep savings, credit, custody and consumer protection. Several expect banks to issue tokenized deposits interoperable with stablecoins rather than disappear.

  4. How willing are crypto users to self-custody a stablecoin wallet?

    BVNK data from 2026 shows 77% of crypto users would open a stablecoin wallet through their existing bank or fintech rather than manage one themselves.

  5. What are the main risks holding stablecoin wallets back?

    Recent breaches show the token layer is not safe by default. Resolv's USR fell about 70% in March after an attacker minted unbacked tokens and drained roughly $25M, and StablR disclosed unauthorized USDR and EURR issuance in May.

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Aggregated from CoinDesk · Verified · Last refreshed 1h ago
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