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🩸BEARISH

Strategy dumps record 3,588 BTC, raising $216M in largest sale ever

Only the third BTC sale in Strategy's history, and the first that meaningfully tests whether management will offload bitcoin to defend dollar liquidity rather than simply topline MSTR's stack.

Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for roughly $216 million last week, its largest bitcoin offload in history and only the third sale the company has ever made. The tranches — 1,363 BTC at an average $59,256 between June 29 and 30, then 2,225 BTC at $60,773 between July 1 and 5 — brought total holdings to 843,775 BTC, bought at an average $74,476 for $63.7B of cost and now carrying about $11.4B of paper losses.

Why it matters

The sale answers a question the balance sheet could not, according to CF Benchmarks' Gabe Selby: whether management is willing to sell bitcoin to reinforce dollar liquidity. The 0.42% reduction equals roughly 1.5 months of current financing carry, so the immediate solvency case is closed. The longer question is whether the sale stays episodic or becomes a recurring requirement to service the expanded STRC-led capital structure.

Market impact

Strategy's near-term obligations look covered: annual financing costs run about 3.4% of the value of its BTC stack, and cash reserves cover 17.4 months of that carry, 25.9 months including authorised reserve-building capacity. CF Benchmarks models just a 2.5% probability of BTC falling to roughly $23,300, the level at which Strategy's bitcoin plus dollar reserves would match its modelled debt and preferred obligations.

The bigger read is capacity. The headline $1.25B BTC Monetization Program caps only reserve-funding sales, per VanEck's Matthew Sigel; bitcoin sold directly to fund preferred dividends sits outside that ceiling. STRC, the 12% preferred that drove most of this year's accumulation, has traded below par since mid-May and has not been used to buy additional bitcoin for several weeks. MSTR itself remains about 79% below its summer 2025 peak, with an enterprise mNAV of 1.07, leaving management with thinner equity cushion to absorb the next drawdown.

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Frequently asked questions

  1. How much bitcoin did Strategy sell and at what price?

    Strategy sold 3,588 BTC for roughly $216 million last week — 1,363 BTC at an average $59,256 between June 29 and 30, and 2,225 BTC at $60,773 between July 1 and 5.

  2. How many bitcoin does Strategy still hold?

    Strategy holds 843,775 BTC, bought at an average price of $74,476 for a total cost of about $63.7 billion. At announcement the stack carried roughly $11.4 billion of paper losses.

  3. What did CF Benchmarks say about the sale?

    CF Benchmarks' Gabe Selby said the sale answers whether management is willing to offload bitcoin to reinforce dollar liquidity, not just top-line the stack. The near-term concern is whether selling becomes a recurring requirement to service the STRC-led capital structure.

  4. Is Strategy at risk of running out of bitcoin to cover its obligations?

    CF Benchmarks models just a 2.5% probability of BTC falling to ~$23,300, the level at which Strategy's bitcoin plus dollar reserves would match its modelled debt and preferred obligations. Cash reserves currently cover 17.4 months of financing carry.

  5. Why did VanEck say Strategy has more selling capacity than the headline suggests?

    VanEck's Matthew Sigel noted the $1.25B BTC Monetization Program caps only reserve-funding sales; bitcoin sold directly to fund preferred dividends sits outside that ceiling, so total potential selling capacity is higher than the headline figure implies.

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