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XRP is holding a compressed $1.45–$1.55 range, with Binance open interest at 516.6 million. That is above estimated 2026 lows of 350–400 million but well below the more than 1.3 billion recorded around the start of October 2025.
An hourly close above $1.54–$1.55 would clear the immediate resistance zone and put $1.63 in focus, followed by potential supply around $1.65–$1.70. A break below $1.45 would weaken the recovery and bring the 50-day EMA near $1.38 into view. XRP remains above its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages while the range holds.
Lower open interest points to less crowded derivatives positioning than a year earlier, but does not establish that a sharp move is imminent. A break could draw in momentum positions or trigger short covering above resistance; below support, leveraged longs could exit and add to selling pressure. Neither outcome is confirmed, so the range boundaries remain the key levels to watch.
Frequently asked questions
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What level would confirm an upside break for XRP?
An hourly close above $1.54–$1.55 would clear the immediate resistance zone and put $1.63 in focus.
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What could XRP test if it falls below $1.45?
A loss of $1.45 would bring the 50-day EMA near $1.38 into view.
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How does current XRP open interest compare with early October 2025?
Binance open interest is 516.6 million, far below the more than 1.3 billion recorded around the start of October 2025.
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Does subdued open interest confirm an XRP breakout or squeeze?
No. Lower open interest indicates less crowded positioning than a year earlier, but does not establish that a sharp move or squeeze is imminent.
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What could happen to positioning if XRP breaks either edge of the range?
Above resistance, momentum positions and short covering could add to a move. Below support, leveraged longs could exit and add to selling pressure.
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