Crypto Policy and Oversight Hang in the Balance in 2026 Midterms
Control of Congress could shape regulator oversight, crypto tax legislation and whether lawmakers revisit market-structure rules after the Clarity Act collapsed.
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Control of Congress could shape regulator oversight, crypto tax legislation and whether lawmakers revisit market-structure rules after the Clarity Act collapsed.
With two key Senate negotiators retiring, the next Congress may have to rebuild support for a market-structure framework backed by crypto firms and Wall Street.
The proposal would extend banks' and credit unions' role in digital assets, but the rules remain under consideration.
The Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act creates a de minimis carve-out for small crypto transactions and treats mining and staking as ordinary income, while Senate momentum stalls on the broader Clarity…
The comparison puts presidential trading activity alongside congressional dealmaking, sharpening scrutiny of political exposure to financial markets.
The stalemate leaves US crypto businesses without a settled legislative path, prolonging the regulatory uncertainty facing institutional participants.
With zero Financial Services Democrats on the cosponsor list and a 30-23 GOP majority ready to carry it alone, ARMA's statutory path looks more partisan than the CLARITY coalition that came before it.
The omission matters because mining and staking rewards are the two crypto tax questions every operator, validator, and protocol team has been waiting on Washington to clarify.
The bipartisan fault line isn't new, but the timing is: a stalled bill pushes any clarity on SEC/CFTC jurisdiction past the August recess, leaving spot ETFs and stablecoin issuers in the same…
The proposal tests Congress's control of federal spending while putting a direct cash transfer at the center of US fiscal policy.
The bill's progress is a market-relevant test of whether the US can provide crypto firms with a clearer operating framework.
With real-money pricing converging, control of the House has become the market's clearest proxy for Trump's impeachment risk.
Forfeitures, civil penalties, and gifts can grow federal crypto holdings, but only Congress can authorize scheduled multibillion-dollar open-market purchases.
The bill targets clearer SEC and CFTC boundaries, a shift that could shape how crypto firms build products and compliance systems in the US.
Two-track December deadlines mean BTC faces two separate shutdown brinkmanship events, each with its own reconciliation risk, before year-end.
Each of these committee chairs has opposed past crypto bills, and Waters went so far as to call the Clarity Act the 'Calamity Act' during a hearing walkout.
Patrick McHenry's framing cut to the heart of it: the world's largest asset manager just endorsed the bill, and lawmakers about to vote no now need cover to keep saying no.
Seven Senate Democrats say the latest draft still fails on ethics and consumer protections, leaving the market-structure bill teetering with the August recess closing in.
The compromise bans federal officials, including the president, from issuing or sponsoring digital assets, but enforcement runs through the DOJ, which is exactly the part Democrats say makes the…
The bill still needs Senate passage before reaching the president's desk, but the House vote sets the floor for a long-stalled ethics reform that named-individual disclosure rules have not matched.