Bitcoin Erases Three-Month S&P 500 Lag in 72 Hours
Glassnode's read: BTC stretches of relative lag are routine, but the snapback excess gains tend to be the bigger move. The 72-hour catch-up may be the entry, not the climax.
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Glassnode's read: BTC stretches of relative lag are routine, but the snapback excess gains tend to be the bigger move. The 72-hour catch-up may be the entry, not the climax.
The pattern leaves Bitcoin with an asymmetric but less dependable relative profile as its excess returns erode over time.
Monday's divergence breaks a recent pattern in which BTC lagged the S&P 500 on about two-thirds of trading days, putting Bitcoin's higher-beta profile back in focus.
Six years of comparable data make this the longest stretch of BTC trailing the S&P 500, and one green session does not undo a three-month slump.
Bitcoin's weakness stands out as the S&P 500 hits a record high, while nearly $4.5B in call open interest sits between $70K and $80K.
The Aug. 18 effective date puts passive-fund rebalancing, trading volume and institutional attention in focus.
The bigger signal is product breadth: Kraken is linking crypto's always-on derivatives model with traditional market exposure inside its funded trading program.
The S&P 500's record complicates a broad risk-off reading, leaving Bitcoin's relative weakness as the central market signal.
The Fundstrat chair sketched a three-phase path past 7,700 and through a 10–15% pullback before a year-end push, framing AI as the intact narrative underwriting the call.
The president added the rally comment on a day the S&P 500 was already sitting near record highs, framing equities as the metric he is watching rather than bonds or the dollar.
The channel frames the ~5% June dip as the textbook midterm-year opener, with a low-volume summer drift higher likely before a 10-20% second-leg drop that could double as a cycle reset for Bitcoin…
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