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LDO DAO Flags Budget Flaw as It Reviews Buybacks

The debate turns on whether real cost cuts, not a counter reset, can improve income before LDO purchases, while current buybacks remain constrained by a $564,230.96 deficit.

Lido’s DAO is weighing whether its 2027 grant budget should guide automated purchases of the LDO governance token. Under the current NEST framework, no allocator-funded purchases had been made by Oct. 13, when its spending counter stood at minus $564,230.96 and the allocator held about 41.12 stETH. The system measures staking revenue against a daily baseline of $109,589, or roughly $40 million annually, and requires any deficit to be repaired before purchases begin.

Why it matters

The governance debate separates genuine cost reductions from an accounting reset. Lowering approved spending could leave more income available for buybacks, while clearing the negative counter would remove a constraint without improving the DAO’s underlying economics. NEST also has a $50,000 daily cap, a $10 million cap over fixed 365-day windows, and a $1,000 minimum allocation.

A review of the model found that its profit comparison scaled forecast expenses by each budget relative to $43.8 million, despite stating that actual expenses matched the approved budget. Correcting that treatment reduced modeled profit in the $30 million case from $10.7 million to $8 million before purchases. The adjustment did not change purchase amounts because NEST buys against its revenue threshold rather than actual expenses.

Market impact

The model produced mean purchases of $2.32 million at a $40 million threshold, $3.35 million at $35 million, and $4.71 million at $30 million. Median purchases were zero, $1.26 million, and $3.18 million, respectively. Lower thresholds therefore permit more LDO buying even when broader DAO operations end at a loss.

A reset produced a smaller modeled increase in spending, about 8% versus carry-forward, while increasing the share of purchase-making periods that ended in a loss from 19.5% to 30%. Any future policy must also avoid double-counting Community Staking Module rebates and Earn income, and must fund purchases with available stETH. More LDO acquisitions would change treasury composition, but would not by themselves prove stronger earnings or provide guaranteed price support.

Related tokens
$LDO $STETH $ETH

Frequently asked questions

  1. Why had Lido’s NEST buyback engine made no purchases?

    NEST’s spending counter was at minus $564,230.96 on Oct. 13. Revenue must repair the deficit before the allocator can make purchases, and funded stETH must also be available.

  2. What revenue threshold does NEST use for LDO purchases?

    NEST compares measured staking revenue with a daily baseline of $109,589, which is approximately $40 million annually. Half of the difference feeds its running spending counter.

  3. How would real cost cuts differ from resetting the counter?

    Real cost cuts could leave more income available for purchases. A reset would remove accumulated negative capacity without improving the DAO’s underlying income or profitability.

  4. What did the corrected $30 million budget model show?

    The corrected model produced $8 million in mean profit before purchases, down from the published $10.7 million. Purchase amounts were unchanged because NEST buys against the revenue threshold, not actual expenses.

  5. Would a counter reset guarantee stronger LDO support?

    No. The reset comparison showed about 8% higher modeled spending, but loss-making purchase periods rose from 19.5% to 30%. LDO purchases would also change treasury composition without guaranteeing price support.

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