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Polymarket settles Strategy Bitcoin sale bet as "No," users push back

The dollar volume makes the dispute hard to ignore: a $118M prediction-market question closed on a contested reading of its own rules, with Polymarket promising clarification by June 1 or no further…

A Polymarket contract on whether Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold any Bitcoin before the end of May resolved to "No" after drawing roughly $118 million in volume, prompting sharp pushback from users who argued the platform's later explanation of the ruling changed how the original market rules were applied.

Polymarket acknowledged the dispute and said it would issue any clarification by 1 p.m. ET on June 1. If no statement was released by that deadline, the team indicated it would provide no further clarification and the market would proceed to settlement as resolved.

Why it matters

The dispute is less about Strategy's Bitcoin balance sheet than about the rule-clarification process on a large-volume contract. Prediction markets trade on the precision of their resolution language; when a late-stage explanation appears to shift that language, traders who sized positions around the original wording have grounds to challenge the outcome — and platforms face pressure to publish their reasoning before settlement rather than after.

Source: [MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? — Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025)

Related tokens
$BTC

Frequently asked questions

  1. What did the Polymarket contract resolve to?

    The contract on whether Strategy sold any Bitcoin before the end of May resolved to 'No' after roughly $118 million in trading volume.

  2. Why are users disputing the outcome?

    Some users argued that Polymarket's later explanation of the ruling changed how the original market rules were applied to the resolution.

  3. What did Polymarket say it would do about the dispute?

    Polymarket acknowledged the dispute and said it would issue any clarification by 1 p.m. ET on June 1, after which it would provide no further clarification and the market would proceed to settlement.

  4. How much volume did the market see?

    The market drew approximately $118 million in volume before resolution, with one source citation showing cumulative trading of about $159.5 million as of June 2, 2026.

  5. What is Strategy's role in this market?

    Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, is the corporate holder of Bitcoin at the center of the prediction-market question about whether it sold any BTC before the end of May.

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Aggregated from WuBlockchain · Verified · Last refreshed 45d ago
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