SEC reviews 24+ ETFs to bring election betting onto US rails
Polymarket's $3.3B World Cup run proved the demand, and a stack of ETF filings would route that volume through regulated rails rather than offshore crypto books.
Every Zipp story tagged #PredictionMarkets, newest first.
Polymarket's $3.3B World Cup run proved the demand, and a stack of ETF filings would route that volume through regulated rails rather than offshore crypto books.
A derivatives license would let Polymarket's U.S. arm offer leveraged bets on events for the first time since a 2022 CFTC settlement, putting it on a regulatory footing with Kalshi.
The judge who set the XRP precedent is now drawing a line on prediction-market expansion, signalling that state gambling statutes still apply where federal CFTC oversight stops.
A 6% tax on net fee revenue resolves the state's standoff with federal derivatives oversight, but leaves other states still contesting where prediction-market jurisdiction actually sits.
A second regulated US prediction-market venue chasing margin trading means the legal pathway Kalshi opened in March is no longer a one-off: niche event-derivative books are lining up behind it.
If the CFTC greenlights Polymarket's rulebook amendment, prediction-market traders could open leveraged positions for the first time inside a regulated US venue, a structural shift for the segment.
The Goldman ban covers contracts tied to the bank itself, elections, markets, macro data, and geopolitics, framing prediction markets as a frontline conduct issue for Wall Street compliance teams.
A federal-event-contract license is not a state-arena pass: a $1B damages claim lets tribal and state plaintiffs drag any venue back into state court, even after Kalshi's CFTC win.
The wallet placed one position and vanished with the payout, reviving questions about whether prediction-market whales are actually retail or just well-capitalised insiders running anonymous books.
The push pairs influencer deals, MLB and CNN/CNBC partnerships, and a CFTC-supervised sports app, betting that mainstream visibility can offset a 2020 settlement and a 2024 CEO home raid.
The new policy lands on August 1, 2026, and adds real-money prediction markets to a prohibited-products list that also tightens privacy and data-collection rules for every Chrome extension developer.
Political prediction markets hit $5.7B in Q2 2026, with Polymarket near-totally dominant, yet still well short of the $7.4B election-driven peak from late 2024.
SDNY Judge Torres ruled the CEA does not preempt state gambling law over Kalshi's sports-event contracts, putting the fight with regulators in the world's financial capital squarely in the loss…
Zero-confirmation credits collapse the deposit window from up to an hour to milliseconds, lowering the friction cost every prediction-market trader has paid since Polymarket launched.
The largest US-accessible prediction market is plugging directly into the BTC rail, turning sat-settled wagers from a niche curiosity into a real on-ramp for the dominant crypto treasury asset.
Lightning funding cuts the on-ramp to a seconds-long flow for prediction-market traders, sidestepping bank rails, KYC, and the multi-day transfer windows.
A sponsored Web3 pitch built around two real primitives, an AI scoring layer and soulbound tokens, that turns audience forecasts into machine-readable inputs before official box-office and streaming…
The fourth consecutive quarter of growth, an 18x year-over-year jump, cements prediction markets as one of the fastest-expanding corners of crypto in 2026.
Quarterly volume jumped 39% from Q1 and 18x year-over-year, making prediction markets one of the fastest-growing on-chain categories of 2026.
The lawsuit hinges on whether 32 BTC sold across one May week qualifies as the kind of "notable" divestment the market was structured to capture.