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ETH supply in 3x+ profit hits 11%, lowest since Feb 2017

The share of Ethereum supply sitting at more than three times its cost basis has fallen to 11%, the lowest reading…

The share of Ethereum supply sitting at more than three times its cost basis has fallen to 11%, the lowest reading since February 2017, according to Glassnode on-chain data. The figure marks a significant compression in ETH's profitability profile relative to prior market cycles.

Why it matters

In both the 2017-2018 and 2020-2021 cycles, the cohort of ETH holders sitting at 3x or greater profit exceeded 50% of total supply at the respective cycle peaks. In the current cycle, that threshold was never reached — meaning the broad base of deeply profitable supply that characterised prior bull markets simply did not materialise this time. That structural difference matters for how the market reads cycle health: the absence of a large, highly profitable cohort reduces the potential overhead supply from profit-taking, but it also signals that the cycle's upside was more narrowly distributed than historical norms.

Market impact

A reading of 11% places ETH's current profitability distribution at a historically subdued level, one last seen before the 2017 bull run had fully developed. For traders and on-chain analysts, the compressed profitability profile suggests that a meaningful portion of ETH supply is either at cost or underwater, which can dampen sell-side pressure in the near term but also reflects the muted price appreciation relative to prior cycles. Watching whether this cohort begins to rebuild — or continues to shrink — will be a key structural signal for ETH's next directional move.

Source: [Just a moment...](https://studio.glassnode.com/charts/breakdowns.SupplyByPnlRelative?a=ETH&s=1453161600&u=1780876800&zoom=)

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Source attribution
Aggregated from Glassnode · Verified · Last refreshed 3h ago
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Frequently asked questions

  1. Why did the 3x-profit ETH cohort never exceed 50% this cycle when it did in prior cycles?

    Glassnode's data shows ETH's price appreciation this cycle was more narrowly distributed, meaning fewer holders accumulated positions at low enough cost bases to reach 3x gains — a structural compression relative to the 2017-2018 and 2020-2021 cycles.

  2. Does a low share of deeply profitable ETH supply reduce selling pressure?

    It can. Fewer holders sitting on 3x or greater gains means a smaller cohort with a strong incentive to take profit, which reduces potential overhead supply — though it also reflects that much of the current supply base is near cost or underwater.

  3. What would a rebuild of the 3x-profit ETH cohort signal for the market?

    A rising share of supply at 3x+ profit would indicate broad-based appreciation from current cost bases, historically associated with strengthening bull market conditions and increasing sell-side risk as the cohort grows.