Polymarket gives 64% odds Trump signs crypto market structure law in 2025.

Prediction markets are now pricing a 64% probability that President Trump signs comprehensive crypto market structure legislation into law before year-end — a meaningful shift that reflects growing confidence in Washington's legislative momentum.

Market structure legislation would be the most consequential crypto policy development in U.S. history, establishing clear jurisdictional lines between the SEC and CFTC and providing the regulatory certainty the industry has sought for years. A signed bill would remove one of the largest overhangs on institutional capital allocation into digital assets.

With both chambers showing increased appetite for crypto-friendly frameworks and the White House signalling openness, the 64% figure suggests the market sees this as a likely outcome — not just a talking point.