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A Polymarket prediction market asking whether Strategy sold Bitcoin before the end of May resolved to "No" after attracting roughly $118 million in trading volume, but the settlement has drawn sharp community pushback. Some participants argued that Polymarket's post-resolution explanation retroactively shifted how the original market rules were interpreted, raising questions about procedural fairness on one of the platform's largest-ever markets.
Why it matters
At $118 million in volume, this is not a routine edge-case dispute — it is a stress test of how prediction markets handle rule ambiguity at scale. The controversy cuts to a core tension in decentralised forecasting: when resolution criteria are contested, the platform's credibility is on the line as much as any individual trader's position. A perception that post-hoc explanations can alter outcomes would undermine confidence in future high-stakes markets.
Market impact
Polymarket acknowledged the dispute and set a hard deadline of 1 p.m. ET on June 1 for any official clarification, stating that silence by that time would mean no further comment and the market would proceed to settlement as-is. For Strategy and Bitcoin watchers, the underlying question — whether the firm liquidated any BTC holdings — was answered "No," consistent with the company's long-standing accumulation posture. The procedural controversy is specific to Polymarket's resolution process rather than a signal about Strategy's Bitcoin treasury.
Source: [MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? — Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025)
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