XRP's available supply on exchanges has fallen to its lowest point since 2020, a signal that has historically preceded sharp price moves. Exchange reserves are declining as large holders — commonly tracked as whale wallets — appear to be pulling coins into self-custody rather than positioning to sell.
When exchange liquidity compresses this aggressively, the market's ability to absorb a sudden surge in buy-side demand shrinks with it. A relatively modest inflow of fresh capital can move the price disproportionately in a thin-book environment.
The setup is not a guarantee of a rally, but the structural conditions — tightening supply, whale accumulation, and historically low exchange depth — align with the kind of pre-surge profile traders watch closely. The key variable now is whether demand-side catalysts arrive before liquidity recovers.
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