94 stories mentioning it. Newest first.
Polymarket has expanded its prediction market infrastructure into private company territory, launching new markets tied to private firms…plugging that data feed into a decentralized prediction market layer, Polymarket is effectively creating a crowd-sourced price
threat that landed directly on already-fragile crypto markets. Trump is reportedly weighing options to restart operations after…under two weeks. Prediction markets are pricing BTC at $76,750 for the May 19 5pm EDT outcome
halving price cycle follows its historical pattern, the market may not find its cycle bottom until October…this pattern treat it less as a hard prediction and more as a probabilistic anchor — a timeframe
Prediction markets on Hyperliquid are pricing a SpaceX IPO above the $2 trillion mark, which would make Elon
emerged over Polymarket's resolution of a prediction market tied to the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, with critics alleging…overridden by platform-level discretion. For prediction market participants and DeFi observers, the episode underscores a persistent tension
Senate Banking Committee passed the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act 15-9, and the National Cryptocurrency Association says…assets. NCA VP Ali Tager framed it plainly — predictable oversight turns crypto from a novel risk into
almost no clean path to the rate cuts markets are pricing in. Warsh holds a single vote…cannot unilaterally move rates regardless of political pressure. Prediction markets currently assign better than 50% odds
consumer-facing app covering spot, futures, and predictions markets, a significant pivot for a protocol best known
Language models were trained to predict text, not allocate capital under adversarial market conditions — and Alpha Arena
Polymarket has been named the exclusive prediction market partner of Serie A, Italy's top-flight football league…marking a significant step in bringing regulated prediction markets into mainstream sports entertainment. The deal gives Polymarket
exchange also disclosed its first metrics for the prediction market platform it launched in December. The platform…historically made crypto exchange economics volatile. Together, the prediction market adoption figures and the credit card surge paint
most persistent structural overhangs in token markets: the scheduled, predictable sell pressure that comes with cliff and linear…inflection point. Tokens that hold or grow their market cap after all VC supply hits the market
Strategy's mid-month Bitcoin bids are no
Riezman, Chief Legal and Strategy Officer at crypto market-maker GSR, is putting the odds of the Clarity…with Coinbase CLO Paul Grewal, who has publicly predicted the bill will pass this summer. The split between
regulatory grey zone: event contracts — the instruments underlying prediction markets — technically qualify as "swaps" under existing law, triggering…does not intend to pursue enforcement against prediction market platforms for failing to file swap data reports. That
contract markets (DCMs), derivatives clearing organizations (DCOs), and market participants from certain swap recordkeeping and reporting requirements…time exception. For crypto and prediction-market participants, the development is meaningful: event contracts have been a contested
each month. That hard deadline creates a predictable surge in demand as investors position ahead of the cutoff…structural bid in the mid-month Bitcoin market — a recurring, calendar-driven inflow that traders and macro watchers
retail data as a contrarian signal: when markets fall, users buy the dip. The platform activated its BitLicense…between traditional finance and on-chain infrastructure, including prediction markets
Banking Committee markup vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act scheduled…variable traders are struggling to price with confidence. Prediction markets currently put passage odds at 60%. The bill
well above the Fed's 2% target. Prediction markets now price only a 3% chance of a rate
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