Every Zipp story tagged #CPI, newest first.
The week's tape runs straight through the Fed's hand: CPI on Tuesday, China GDP and PPI on Wednesday, then jobless claims. Five money-center banks report alongside.
June CPI lands Tuesday with core YoY seen flat at 2.9% and a rare negative headline print; JPMorgan, Citi and Wells Fargo follow, and the read on risk appetite will hit BTC before the Fed does.
The Iran oil spike has unwound at the WTI screen, but RBOB gasoline is still 40% above pre-war levels.
The bounce is real, but the macro backdrop hasn't changed: headline CPI prints are softening while core inflation keeps grinding higher, leaving the Fed little room to ease into a recovering BTC.
The 4.2% headline print matched consensus, easing the immediate rate-hike overhang and letting BTC defend the $60,000 floor — but core inflation ticked up to 2.9%, keeping the Fed debate unresolved.
Headline and core both landed in line with expectations, but the year-on-year print marks the highest level in over two years — a sticky backdrop the Fed now has to weigh against a softening labor…
Core inflation held at 2.9% and the monthly print came in below forecasts, but the Fed is still expected to leave rates at 350-375 bps on June 17 — and markets are now pricing a 25 bps hike by…
The May CPI is forecast at 4.2% YoY, a three-year high, and the bond market is already pricing 25bp of additional tightening by year-end — a broad-based upside surprise would be the trigger for a…
A geopolitical escalation, a hotter-than-expected CPI print, and a $250B IPO demand wall collide on the same session — BTC's directional bias hinges on which signal the market prices first.
The headline print is the second-order risk; the real signal BlackRock is parsing is whether a Hormuz disruption layers a four-decade-low oil inventory draw onto an already sticky CPI.
Back-to-back macro prints — inflation first, then the rate path — will likely set the volatility regime for BTC and the rest of risk into mid-June.
Headline inflation reaccelerated above the 3.6-3.7% consensus, core ticked up to 2.74%, and fed funds futures now imply no cuts in 2026 or 2027 — with rate hikes back on the table.
Open interest jumped ~$10B in a month while spot volumes sit near two-year lows — the move looks more like forced short covering than durable demand, and CPI plus the Fed chair transition loom.
Core CPI doubled to 0.4% in April and headline hit 3.8% — its fastest pace since May 2023 — flipping Fed-cut bets into a 35% chance of a 2026 rate hike.
Headline CPI printed 3.8% YoY, core 2.8% — both above consensus — as shelter and services inflation stayed sticky, and traders promptly pulled forward Fed cut bets.
April CPI ran 3.8% YoY and 0.6% MoM — both above consensus — pushing the Fed Funds corridor to stay pinned at 350-375bps through year-end and dragging risk assets lower across the board.
The token-specific setup is the strongest in months — but Bitcoin still captures 82% of weekly flows, and the May 12 CPI print will decide whether XRP's demand data gets to translate into price.
April CPI is consensus 3.7% — the largest annual jump since January 2024 — and the stall at $80K-$82K BTC, $1.50 XRP and $97 SOL suggests traders are already hedging the risk-off reaction.
The macro tape is coiled for Tuesday's CPI print, but the structural flows underneath — a $222M ARC raise, three straight weeks of SOL ETF inflows — are doing more work than the headlines suggest.
Five trading days stack inflation prints, the Powell-to-Warsh handoff, and a Beijing summit into a single stress window — the broadest read on whether $BTC's recovery above $80K has macro sponsorship.
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