Fed Rate-Hike Odds at Next FOMC Meeting Disappear
The shift eases a key near-term policy concern for risk assets, though it does not establish that the Fed will cut rates.
Fed Rate-Hike Odds at Next FOMC Meeting Disappear
🔥BULLISH
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WatcherGuru
Polymarket Puts October Fed Rate Hold Back in the Lead
〽️NEUTRAL
Polymarket Puts October Fed Rate Hold Back in the Lead
Core PCE is the immediate market catalyst: the forecast matches the previous 3.3% reading, while the post outlines sharply different reactions above or below that level.
Crypto News
Kevin Warsh FOMC press conference live: rate path hints in focus
〽️NEUTRAL
Kevin Warsh FOMC press conference live: rate path hints in focus
Markets will parse every word from the Fed chair for clues on the rate path, with policy guidance from the presser often moving more than the statement itself.
Fed Hikes Rates as Inflation Remains Too High
🩸BEARISH
Fed Hikes Rates as Inflation Remains Too High
Price stability is now the Fed’s predominant focus, while Warsh declined to signal another hike and warned against relying on individual data releases.
CoinTelegraph
Fed Hikes Rates 25 Bps to 3.75%–4.00%, Signals More Hikes
🩸BEARISH
Fed Hikes Rates 25 Bps to 3.75%–4.00%, Signals More Hikes
The unanimous 12–0 vote matters less than the dots: 16 of 18 officials see at least one more hike in 2026, and few see rates below 4% by end-2027.
WuBlockchain
BTC Whipsaws Near $75,600 After Fed Hikes Rates 25bp
🩸BEARISH
BTC Whipsaws Near $75,600 After Fed Hikes Rates 25bp
The first hike in over three years came with a hawkish dot plot: 16 of 18 policymakers see another quarter-point move this year, setting up a longer tightening path than markets had priced.
TheBlock
Bitcoin Drops Below $75K as CLARITY Act Fails in Senate
🩸BEARISH
Bitcoin Drops Below $75K as CLARITY Act Fails in Senate
The Senate's 49-50 cloture failure wiped out near-term regulatory upside just as 5% Treasury yields and $105 oil squeeze risk assets, putting Warsh's FOMC decision and the $70K 200-day average in…
CryptoSlate
Bitcoin faces FOMC test with $75K in focus
〽️NEUTRAL
Bitcoin faces FOMC test with $75K in focus
A packed macro calendar puts the Fed's rate decision, the dot plot, and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at the center of today's risk appetite, with Bitcoin traders watching whether the $75K…
BTC Rebound Ahead? Warsh Fed Decision Risks Dollar Weakness
🔥BULLISH
BTC Rebound Ahead? Warsh Fed Decision Risks Dollar Weakness
Warsh cannot match the hawkish pricing already in markets. A softer message risks dollar weakness and inflation-driven yields, which historically revives Bitcoin's sovereign-hedge trade.
CoinDesk
Fed rate hike odds hit 87% ahead of tomorrow's FOMC…
🩸BEARISH
Fed rate hike odds hit 87% ahead of tomorrow's FOMC…
Markets are pricing near-certainty of a 25 bps hike, a move that historically tightens dollar liquidity and pressures risk assets including crypto in the near term.
Bitcoin faces liquidity test as US tax deadline collides…
🩸BEARISH
Bitcoin faces liquidity test as US tax deadline collides…
The IRS payment date lands on day one of the September 15–16 FOMC, layering a scheduled cash drain on bank reserves ($2.991T weekly average) just as policy guidance arrives.
Crypto braces as Fed, BOE, BOJ move rates this week
〽️NEUTRAL
Crypto braces as Fed, BOE, BOJ move rates this week
The headline is the calendar, but the Fed's Dot Plot is what actually sets dollar liquidity for the rest of the quarter, and the BOJ's expected hike would tighten global conditions further.
Goldman Sachs Calls for 25bp Fed Hike Next Wednesday
🩸BEARISH
Goldman Sachs Calls for 25bp Fed Hike Next Wednesday
Thorne calls it 'the Wall Street wall of mirrors,' a hike to placate futures rather than respond to real inflation.
Fed Rate Hike Next Week: Goldman Sachs Forecast Shocks Markets
🩸BEARISH
Fed Rate Hike Next Week: Goldman Sachs Forecast Shocks Markets
The $3.7T-asset Wall Street bank's call reframes next week's FOMC from a hold into a tightening event, putting risk assets and crypto back on a defensive footing.
Polymarket Prices 25bp Fed Hike at 62% for September
〽️NEUTRAL
Polymarket Prices 25bp Fed Hike at 62% for September
With no change at 39%, a hold remains a material alternative; larger hikes and both cut scenarios each sit below 1%, while other gauges have diverged.
Bitcoin Reclaims $79K as Zcash ETF Tops $500M in Assets
🔥BULLISH
Bitcoin Reclaims $79K as Zcash ETF Tops $500M in Assets
The tape is now trading Fed odds rather than anything crypto-specific, and ZCSH's $500M AUM in a fortnight pulled 3% of ZEC's float while spot BTC ETFs kept a three-week inflow streak alive.
FOMC Rate-Hike Odds Hit 53% for September Meeting
🩸BEARISH
FOMC Rate-Hike Odds Hit 53% for September Meeting
The probability makes the September decision a live risk-off event for crypto and other rate-sensitive assets.
Bitcoin Faces Fed Test Before BEA Revises PCE
〽️NEUTRAL
Bitcoin Faces Fed Test Before BEA Revises PCE
A BEA methodology change could alter the Fed's preferred inflation gauge without changing CPI, splitting the rate signal across an immediate decision and a later data revision.
BTC stalls at $64K as yields and oil pressure equities
🩸BEARISH
BTC stalls at $64K as yields and oil pressure equities
BTC's own positioning reads the opposite of the macro tape: longs flipped bullish, funding hit a 20-month high.
Crypto Week Ahead: FOMC Minutes and EU Ban Set the Tone
〽️NEUTRAL
Crypto Week Ahead: FOMC Minutes and EU Ban Set the Tone
FOMC minutes could reset rate-cut bets for September, while EU operators face an Aug. 23 deadline to halt transactions with 14 named crypto-asset service platforms.
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