BTC's four-year cycle playbook is breaking down this bear
At comparable points in prior cycles, Bitcoin was more than twice as deep in drawdown and weeks from its lows.
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At comparable points in prior cycles, Bitcoin was more than twice as deep in drawdown and weeks from its lows.
A shorter bear after an apathetic prior top is what the four-year framework would actually predict if BTC prints a May low.
Historical timing points to a late-year bottom window, but another capitulation remains possible before a durable base forms.
Richard Teng frames the call around the four-year cycle and a 300-day mark since the all-time high, betting capital cools off AI and rotates back into crypto.
July has historically delivered a single-digit-percent bounce inside midterm-year weakness, and Bitcoin just ripped off the early-July low, but 2018 and 2022 show those gains typically get handed…
Bitcoin has traced a near-identical 2026 price path to 2018: February low, higher low in March-April, lower high in May, June sweep to $57K, with the cycle thesis now pointing to an October bottom…
The Federal Reserve chair used the word 'optimistic' the same hour a 53.3 PMI print confirmed ongoing US expansion; whichever signal crypto tracks, the next six months will tell.
The channel sees BTC pinned between a downtrending resistance band around $70K to $74K and a rising 200-week moving average, with the four-year cycle still pointing to a deeper flush before any…
Bitcoin topped within one week of the prior two cycles' peak day-count — a tighter adherence than most "cycle is dead" narratives credit — and the rally off the low is already weaker than 2022's by…