Every Zipp story tagged #MarketCycle, newest first.
The thesis is built on the four-year cycle and prior midterm-year templates rather than fresh on-chain capitulation.
The same moving-average gap that marked the 2015, 2018 and 2022 cycle bottoms has re-formed after three years, but the analyst still flags room for a deeper retest before any structural reversal.
The Bull Score Index is still in bearish territory despite the July bounce, so the firm reads the move as cyclical mean-reversion within a downtrend, not a structural bottom.
Ki Young Ju's data shows each bull cycle now absorbs more capital for less upside, with ETFs bleeding $10B since May and BTC down 50% from its October peak near $126K.
Bitcoin has traced a near-identical 2026 price path to 2018: February low, higher low in March-April, lower high in May, June sweep to $57K, with the cycle thesis now pointing to an October bottom…
If Bitcoin's four-year cycle thesis holds, most altcoins may never reclaim their highs. A counter-read argues they are tracking the macro business cycle and the real move is still ahead.
Unique investor counts are the cleanest cycle signal: a six-year low in Q2 says capital is concentrating into fewer hands, not the space contracting outright.
Every prior cycle has looked different on the weekly chart, and the divergence now printing on Bitcoin and the total crypto market cap resembles the November 2022 setup more than the June 2022 one…
Eight months after Bitcoin topped, declining volumes, venture pullback and sector-wide cuts point to a late-stage cycle, historically one of the strongest windows to position for the next run.
The four-year cycle didn't fail at the top, the analyst argues, so the same playbook that flagged prior bottoms is worth watching: time-based ROI, MVRV Z, and price levels below realized.
651 active crypto investors in Q2 2026 is a rounding error next to the 2022 peak of 2,564, and the shape of the pullback matters more than the headline number.
The copper-gold ratio, the altcoin risk score at 8-11, and a PMI expansion are aligning for the first time in years — but the author admits the frustration is real and Bitcoin could still drop to the…
On-chain risk models show total crypto at a score of 6, with Bitcoin and Ethereum hitting 13 on the Puell Multiple and LTH MVRV — territory every prior cycle has marked as accumulation, even if…
Bitcoin already wicked through the 200-week moving average near $61.8K while the four-year cycle framework still points to October as the most likely market-cycle bottom.
The argument links the altcoin-cap ex-top-10 chart to copper/gold and PMI expansion — if the pattern holds, a window opens by mid-July for trillions in traditional liquidity to rotate into a $200B…
The halving-cycle thesis has called every macro low since 2012 — but the post-ETF flow regime is a structurally different market, and that's what the October print will actually test.
The forecast revision is sharper than the price target: a top issuer now says the four-figure cycle top arrives before 2029, framing $50B in ETF inflows as the structural break.
Altcoin market cap is roughly 1,600 days from its 2021 peak, double the 714-day drawdown of the prior cycle, but QT has ended and PMI is climbing above 50 — the same configuration that preceded the…
Benjamin Cowen
Crypto Capital Venture
TheBlock
CryptoSlate
CoinTelegraph
CoinDesk
WuBlockchain