Every Zipp story tagged #MarketCycle, newest first.
On-chain risk metrics briefly dipped below the 0.3 DCA threshold in early July, but mixed signals from historical cycle comparisons leave the question of a confirmed low unresolved.
The $100K target is the nearer benchmark, while the $500K scenario depends on Bitcoin's market cycle playing out as usual.
Below the 200-week MA, BTC sits in a band it has occupied only 8% of its history, historically the zone where the strongest forward returns have followed.
August and September average double-digit losses in midterm years, and 2026's apathetic top and current social-risk levels mirror 2018's structure to a fault.
The unresolved question is whether Bitcoin is forming a durable bottom or pausing before the late-year selloff seen after comparable midterm-cycle lows.
YouTube views, subscriber growth, and X follower rates across crypto creators are down 80-95% from the 2021 peak, putting the current social cycle on par with 2018.
The structural thesis was never the problem. The valuations that the thesis lifted got ahead of it, and the digital asset complex is now posting its third straight quarterly loss while capital…
The thesis is built on the four-year cycle and prior midterm-year templates rather than fresh on-chain capitulation.
The same moving-average gap that marked the 2015, 2018 and 2022 cycle bottoms has re-formed after three years, but the analyst still flags room for a deeper retest before any structural reversal.
The Bull Score Index is still in bearish territory despite the July bounce, so the firm reads the move as cyclical mean-reversion within a downtrend, not a structural bottom.
Ki Young Ju's data shows each bull cycle now absorbs more capital for less upside, with ETFs bleeding $10B since May and BTC down 50% from its October peak near $126K.
Bitcoin has traced a near-identical 2026 price path to 2018: February low, higher low in March-April, lower high in May, June sweep to $57K, with the cycle thesis now pointing to an October bottom…
If Bitcoin's four-year cycle thesis holds, most altcoins may never reclaim their highs. A counter-read argues they are tracking the macro business cycle and the real move is still ahead.
Unique investor counts are the cleanest cycle signal: a six-year low in Q2 says capital is concentrating into fewer hands, not the space contracting outright.
Every prior cycle has looked different on the weekly chart, and the divergence now printing on Bitcoin and the total crypto market cap resembles the November 2022 setup more than the June 2022 one…
Eight months after Bitcoin topped, declining volumes, venture pullback and sector-wide cuts point to a late-stage cycle, historically one of the strongest windows to position for the next run.
The four-year cycle didn't fail at the top, the analyst argues, so the same playbook that flagged prior bottoms is worth watching: time-based ROI, MVRV Z, and price levels below realized.
651 active crypto investors in Q2 2026 is a rounding error next to the 2022 peak of 2,564, and the shape of the pullback matters more than the headline number.
The copper-gold ratio, the altcoin risk score at 8-11, and a PMI expansion are aligning for the first time in years — but the author admits the frustration is real and Bitcoin could still drop to the…
On-chain risk models show total crypto at a score of 6, with Bitcoin and Ethereum hitting 13 on the Puell Multiple and LTH MVRV — territory every prior cycle has marked as accumulation, even if…
Benjamin Cowen
CoinTelegraph
Altcoin Daily
CoinDesk
Crypto Capital Venture
TheBlock
CryptoSlate
WuBlockchain