Every Zipp story tagged $POLY, newest first.
The country's largest prediction market has been blocked from the US since 2022; a margin-trading filing with the CFTC is the first concrete step toward re-entry under a regulated wrapper.
If the CFTC greenlights Polymarket's rulebook amendment, prediction-market traders could open leveraged positions for the first time inside a regulated US venue, a structural shift for the segment.
Political prediction markets hit $5.7B in Q2 2026, with Polymarket near-totally dominant, yet still well short of the $7.4B election-driven peak from late 2024.
U.S.-linked wallets were Polymarket's biggest national political crowd in the last year; the demand that flowed offshore leans toward foreign wars and novelty events regulated U.S. venues do not list.
A freshly created account posted a 93% win rate across 15 World Cup markets in five days, a track record more typical of insider flow than sharp betting.
Two-thirds of winner-market volume sits on teams with a 1% or lower chance of winning, a legacy of trades that never unwound rather than fresh conviction.
The WSJ scoop on paid actors staging wagers is now a formal congressional ask, putting prediction-market regulation back on the CFTC's front burner.
The run-rate crossed eight figures while the platform was still blocked from its largest addressable market, then US access flipped on, and the curve steepened without losing a beat.
Kalshi and Polymarket already cleared a category worth $130B+ in annual volume; Meta's edge is 3.56 billion daily users, yet its Reality Labs burn and Libra collapse mean the same scale that makes…
Kalshi's first billion-dollar open interest print arrived the same week Polymarket's World Cup-driven volume tripled, a signal that event-contract retail demand is now flowing through both regulated…
The points-first design insulates Meta from US prediction-market licensing while it learns the market, and leaves the door open to a future real-money product the moment a clearer regime lands.
The promotion was off-platform by design — staged on near-identical lookalike pages — so the trades were never real bets and never touched Polymarket's settlement engine, leaving the question of…
The lesson from Cape Verde, Netherlands, and Belgium isn't that upsets happen — it's that win-only contracts priced at 92% collapse to zero the moment a draw lands, while "not to win" and spread…
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