Bitcoin Dominance May Recover After Recent Decline
Stablecoins may be changing the usual signal: their market share is currently helping keep Bitcoin dominance elevated.
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Stablecoins may be changing the usual signal: their market share is currently helping keep Bitcoin dominance elevated.
The framework pairs business-cycle signals with risk models and staged selling, aiming to lock in gains without exiting entirely if altcoins run further.
The runoff is gradual and its first market response was mild, but the plan adds a long-duration liquidity test for risk assets through 2034.
An unchanged rate decision still tightens: €39.4B of June runoff, another €31.1B pencilled in through July, and European banks pulling back on credit leave Bitcoin competing for scarcer capital at…
182 days after QT ended, the OTHERS/BTC chart sits at a long-term trendline with its 20-week moving average crossing above the 50-week — the same setup that preceded the 2020 altcoin breakout.
A long-time crypto YouTuber says the post-QT dip has dragged sentiment past pain into numbness — even as he frames the macro setup, from copper/gold to the Clarity Act, as the strongest in years.
The S&P 500 is at all-time highs while Bitcoin sits 36% below its own — a divergence that played out identically in December 2019, right before the last crypto rally began.
The target hinges on a repeat of the 2019 post-QT pattern — a 140-day dip followed by a lower-high Fibonacci push — and assumes the macro tailwinds line up.
Bitcoin wicked to the 200-week MA near $60K and altcoin market cap is down 56% from the 2021 peak — but both prints line up with the 2019 post-QT analog, when markets dipped before the next leg up.