Fed Set to Hold Rates as 2-Year Yield Signals Incoming Hike
The 29% FedWatch odds of a July hike look about right: the more useful signal is the 2-year yield pushing the Fed funds rate toward 4.25%, which is the level the market wants by December.
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The 29% FedWatch odds of a July hike look about right: the more useful signal is the 2-year yield pushing the Fed funds rate toward 4.25%, which is the level the market wants by December.
The 10y/2y spread at just 28 bps signals the Fed staying hawkish for longer — non-yielding risk assets like bitcoin face capital rotating back into fixed income through at least 2028.