Bitcoin is trading near $81,000, wedged between $76,900 support and $86,900 resistance, as two opposing macro forces compete for control. On one side, US leveraged ETF assets under management have surged to $177 billion — up $45 billion, or 34%, since the March market bottom — with tech, semiconductors, and Magnificent 7 products accounting for 69% of that total. When speculative capital concentrates this heavily in high-beta growth sectors, it historically spills into Bitcoin as the highest-beta extension of the same liquidity complex.
On the other side, the macro backdrop is deteriorating. Headline CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year in April, with monthly inflation jumping 0.6% — the sharpest monthly print in months. Brent crude is near $104.90, the 10-year Treasury yield hit an 11-month high near 4.484%, and traders are now pricing a 71.5% probability the Fed holds through year-end 2026,…
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