Prediction-market prices on Kalshi put J.D. Vance at 33% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, ahead of Marco Rubio at 20% and Ron DeSantis at 17%.
Jon Ossoff leads the Democratic field at 25%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13% and Gavin Newsom at 12%. The gap between first and second is 13 points in the Republican market and 12 points on the Democratic side, leaving both fields competitive.
The percentages are prediction-market prices, not completed nominations, party endorsements or settled election results.
Frequently asked questions
-
How far ahead of Marco Rubio is J.D. Vance in Kalshi's Republican market?
Vance is priced at 33%, 13 percentage points ahead of Rubio at 20% and 16 points ahead of DeSantis at 17%.
-
Who holds second place in the Democratic nomination market on Kalshi?
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is second at 13%, one percentage point ahead of Gavin Newsom at 12%.
-
How do the leads for Vance and Ossoff compare?
Vance's lead over Rubio is 13 points, while Ossoff's lead over Ocasio-Cortez is 12 points. The Republican gap is one point wider.
-
What do the Kalshi nomination percentages actually measure?
They are prediction-market prices for each candidate's nomination chance. They do not represent completed nominations, endorsements or final election results.
-
How far behind J.D. Vance is Ron DeSantis on Kalshi?
DeSantis is at 17%, 16 percentage points behind Vance's 33%.
Crypto Rank News
TheBlock
Lookonchain
WuBlockchain
CoinDesk
Glassnode