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Choosing a multisig quorum is a probability problem, not a vibes decision. Here is how 2-of-3, 3-of-5, and 4-of-7 actually behave when signers vanish, lose keys, or go silent.
Cowen frames the call around a 1996-style S&P/M2 fractal that's overdue: a shallow June–July pullback first, then a larger Q3 leg lower — and Bitcoin is positioned to fall harder than equities on…
Three of the last three midterm years printed their equity top in August or September after a shallow June dip and a July rally, a pattern the S&P looks on track to repeat heading into late Q3.
The yes-or-no contracts won't be event-style like Kalshi or Polymarket, but they slot a top US brokerage directly into the same wagering lane — and signal TradFi is comfortable moving closer to…
Benjamin Cowen
WuBlockchain