CME's Duffy Clashes With CFTC, Kalshi on Prediction Markets
A 100M-contract TradFi incumbent, a fast-growing prediction platform, and the federal regulator publicly sparred in a CFTC committee room. The bill will eventually land on retail traders.
Every Zipp story tagged #InsiderTrading, newest first.
A 100M-contract TradFi incumbent, a fast-growing prediction platform, and the federal regulator publicly sparred in a CFTC committee room. The bill will eventually land on retail traders.
The complaint alleges BitMEX operated a hidden desk that traded against users and froze servers during volatility to trigger liquidations, with plaintiffs seeking return of roughly 623 BTC.
The bill still needs Senate passage before reaching the president's desk, but the House vote sets the floor for a long-stalled ethics reform that named-individual disclosure rules have not matched.
The measure targets perceived conflicts of interest and seeks to reinforce confidence that lawmakers do not hold an unfair trading edge.
The platform's first public insider-trading sweep lands alongside a Bloomberg tally showing roughly $200M in H1 2026 trades flagged for potential insider flow, concentrated in geopolitical markets.
Two separate prediction-market integrity stories hit on the same day: a White House staffer profited on timing Trump speeches, and a US Special Forces soldier faces DOJ and CFTC charges for allegedly…
The case tests the CFTC's authority over prediction-market insider trading as political-event contracts draw billions in volume and a celebrity-adjacent defendant.
Even if no law is broken, the optics of a sitting president with active equity positions endorsing those same names on a public platform raise conflict-of-interest and market-manipulation questions…
CNN's review of post-purchase Truth Social activity raises the canonical insider-trading question the Constitution leaves unresolved: how much of the presidency's market-moving voice is the same…
The Goldman ban covers contracts tied to the bank itself, elections, markets, macro data, and geopolitics, framing prediction markets as a frontline conduct issue for Wall Street compliance teams.
If even a portion of those purchases caught the snapback from the pause, the optics and the legal exposure land in the same place: a sitting president trading on policy he controls.
The trades were filed after the president's social-media pivot on Liberation Day levies, sharpening ethics questions over whether policy timing and portfolio moves are converging in plain sight.
The volume alone is the story: a sitting president publishing more than 60 equity trades a day on average is the kind of disclosure cadence regulators usually investigate, not absorb.
Three wallets with a perfect-or-near-perfect hit rate on the same event funneled every dollar to the same Binance deposit address before going dark.
The Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act targets Kalshi and Polymarket-style political bets, with fines near $2,000 or 10% of the wager — but a Senate companion and a DOJ arrest signal the fight is…
The federally regulated exchange is adding pre-trade employment screening to prediction markets it flags for insider or manipulation risk, a build-out that lands weeks after insider-trading arrests…
The case marks the first major US insider-trading prosecution tied to a prediction market — and puts every employee trading on Polymarket on notice that non-corporate data still qualifies.
US federal prosecutors have charged a Google engineer with insider trading after he allegedly used privileged access to…
Feds allege a Google security engineer exploited internal trending data to net $1.2M across Polymarket positions — the second insider-trading arrest tied to the platform.
The US House Oversight Committee has opened a formal investigation into insider trading on prediction markets, marking…