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Bipartisan bill targets CFTC prediction markets over sports…

Senators Schiff and Curtis are pushing to carve sports-event contracts out of CFTC jurisdiction entirely, a move that would reshape the regulatory boundary between prediction markets and traditional…

U.S. Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis plan to introduce a bipartisan bill that would prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms from offering contracts tied to sporting events, according to the Wall Street Journal. The legislation directly targets prediction-market platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket, which have expanded into sports-outcome contracts under CFTC oversight.

The push is backed by an unusual coalition: casinos, Native American tribal gaming operators, and labor unions — all of whom argue that CFTC-regulated sports contracts undercut existing state-licensed sports betting frameworks and the workers and communities those frameworks support.

Why it matters

The Clarity Act, the broader crypto-market-structure legislation moving through Congress, has become a vehicle for this fight. If the Schiff-Curtis amendment succeeds, it would draw a hard regulatory line between financial prediction markets and sports gambling, potentially forcing platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket to exit one of their fastest-growing product categories. It also signals that the gambling industry's lobbying weight is now actively shaping crypto-adjacent financial regulation.

Market impact

For prediction-market platforms, the bill represents a material product risk rather than a theoretical one — sports contracts have been a key user-acquisition driver. The outcome will also set a precedent for how broadly the CFTC's jurisdiction over event contracts is interpreted going forward, with implications for any platform building financial instruments around real-world outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

  1. Which prediction-market platforms does the Schiff-Curtis bill specifically target?

    The legislation is aimed at CFTC-regulated platforms offering sports-event contracts, with Kalshi and Polymarket explicitly named as affected platforms.

  2. Why are casinos and tribal gaming operators backing a bill about CFTC regulation?

    Casinos, tribal operators, and unions argue that CFTC-regulated sports contracts compete directly with state-licensed sports betting, undercutting the regulatory frameworks and workforces those licenses support.

  3. How does this bill connect to the broader Clarity Act moving through Congress?

    The Schiff-Curtis measure is being pursued as an amendment to the Clarity Act, the wider crypto market-structure legislation, which would carve sports-event contracts out of the CFTC's jurisdiction entirely if passed.

  4. What would the bill mean for platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket in practice?

    If enacted, the bill would force CFTC-regulated prediction-market platforms to exit sports-outcome contracts — one of their fastest-growing product categories — or operate outside CFTC oversight for those products.

  5. What broader regulatory precedent could this legislation set for event-contract markets?

    The outcome would define how broadly the CFTC's jurisdiction over real-world-outcome contracts is interpreted, with implications for any platform building financial instruments tied to non-financial events beyond sports.

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