Bitcoin is holding near $76,790, down 0.73% on the day, while Ethereum trades at $2,098 with a modest 0.44% decline. The broader crypto market cap sits at $2.64 trillion, with BTC dominance at 58.2% and the Fear & Greed Index registering 34 — firmly in fear territory.
The partial recovery follows improving geopolitical sentiment tied to a potential U.S.–Iran peace deal, with Polymarket odds for an agreement this month rising to 37%. The macro backdrop is providing a modest tailwind, though the market remains cautious with the Altcoin Index at 36 out of 100.
On the institutional side, SUI is gaining visibility through Grayscale's latest ETF offering, while Hyperliquid is moving into prediction market territory with macro outcome bets — a direct challenge to Polymarket.
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