Macro events that move crypto — central bank rate decisions, inflation prints, banking stress, and global risk shifts.
Wintermute's OTC desk sees BTC grinding toward its bear-market low while options markets price a tight 1.9% daily move, with three catalysts, PCE, Iran headlines, and a quarter-end options expiry,…
The directive signals a sharper federal posture on energy antitrust, with the Justice Department now tasked with identifying whether refiners coordinated to push prices higher.
Spot BTC ETFs just printed a record $6B 30-day outflow, and a $10.6B options expiry on Friday puts the $60,000 floor in front of the entire market.
The win extends Fairshake-aligned victories past federal races into state-level Democratic primaries, signaling the industry's political infrastructure is durable enough to swing statehouse contests,…
The chamber cleared a multi-year moratorium on a retail Fed digital dollar, sending the fight to the Senate where central-bank digital currency policy has split both parties.
The addition makes Alphabet the fourth megacap tech name on the 30-stock blue-chip gauge, a structural reweighting that forces index-tracking funds to buy $GOOGL and sell $VZ.
A formal draft from Senate Banking would end years of piecemeal IRS guidance, replacing it with statutory rules on custody, DeFi, and reporting that the industry has lobbied for since 2022.
A one-day $1T loss in US market cap is the kind of move usually reserved for a Fed surprise or a 2020-style shock. The fact that it printed on a quiet tape is the signal.
The macro print sets the impulse, the quarterly Deribit expiry decides whether it gets pinned or amplified, and roughly 80% of open interest is already out of the money after June's slide.
The meeting, first reported by Bloomberg, sits at the intersection of two parallel legal tracks: the Justice Department's reversal on Adani and the Trump family's deepening India business ties.
The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act freezes any US retail digital dollar through 2030, with Elizabeth Warren, who once called CBDCs a promising alternative to private crypto, now co-authoring the…
The single largest opening-session drawdown since the 2020 Covid shock, and the speed of the move is forcing cross-asset de-risking before US macro data lands later this week.
The bank now sees two Fed hikes in 2026, reversing its earlier easing call, and flags $6B in six-week spot ETF outflows as the structural pressure point for the next leg.
A 19 million barrel daily transit print would re-rate one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints, and any sustained jump in Hormuz throughput has direct second-order consequences for crude,…
The deleveraging is the cleaner read, but the next leg needs ETF and corporate bid to come back. Until it does, Wintermute frames the setup as range-bound, not a new uptrend.
Deribit's own CCO calls vol cheap but not at fire-sale levels, with the June 26 book loaded net-long in-the-money puts and out-of-the-money calls heading into a quarter-end reset.
The oil curve is already pricing in normalization, but the CPI data that confirms it does not arrive until August and PCE not until September 30, leaving the FOMC to lean hawkish through a…
Bitcoin slid 2.5% to $62,300 and ether fell more than 4% while a surging DXY and crowded short-side leverage in SpaceX and XRP perpetuals confirmed sellers are now in control across most of the top…
The 3% drop was driven by Nikkei weakness and a leverage flush, not isolated BTC flow, with long/short taker volume tilting 51/49 toward buyers despite the slide.
The KOSPI halted after a single-day wipeout led by Samsung and SK Hynix, while Bitcoin broke below $63K as $714M in 24-hour liquidations compounded a spot ETF outflow streak now running $6.35B in 30…
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