Gold Drops 30% as Midterm-Year Seasonality Hits Bulls Hard
Comparing 2026 against 2022 and 2018 puts the drawdown right at the average for prior midterm years, and the window for a low lines up between July and October.
Every Zipp story tagged #Seasonality, newest first.
Comparing 2026 against 2022 and 2018 puts the drawdown right at the average for prior midterm years, and the window for a low lines up between July and October.
Three of the last three midterm years printed their equity top in August or September after a shallow June dip and a July rally, a pattern the S&P looks on track to repeat heading into late Q3.
The print undershot consensus across both headline and core, but the analyst argues the tape is tracking the 2018 cycle template rather than repricing for cuts.
Seasonality data going back to the 1960s puts the average midterm-year bottom in early July, and the bull-market support band near $3,800 has not been tagged since 2023.
A decade of Independence Day closes shows BTC long-term dollar appreciation, a 2022 mid-bear bottom, and a 2026 retrace to $62K that erases last year's peak.
The channel frames the ~5% June dip as the textbook midterm-year opener, with a low-volume summer drift higher likely before a 10-20% second-leg drop that could double as a cycle reset for Bitcoin…
DOGE enters mid-2026 carrying nine straight red Junes and an average monthly loss of 7.29%, with RSI still neutral and the next support sitting 6% below current price.
Gold is trading around $4,000 an ounce after a roughly 28% drawdown from its early-2026 peak, and on average the metal…
BTC is testing the 100-day MA just days before the April 29 FOMC, with stablecoin dominance hovering at the bull market support band — a configuration that historically preceded deeper retests of the…