Bitcoin Gained Up to 92.3% After US Midterm Elections
CryptoQuant’s three-election comparison points to strong historical 12-month returns, but those past moves do not establish a reliable forecast for the next cycle.
Every Zipp story tagged #Seasonality, newest first.
CryptoQuant’s three-election comparison points to strong historical 12-month returns, but those past moves do not establish a reliable forecast for the next cycle.
Historical midterm-year patterns point to summer lows, but the 2018 and 2022 examples show that a later retest can still follow.
Past midterm-year patterns offer a possible timing guide, but the direction of yields, the dollar and inflation will matter more than seasonality alone.
September averages -2.21% for Bitcoin. A 9% gain with a week left on the calendar flips the seasonal script and reframes the Q4 setup.
The result gives bulls a stronger seasonal benchmark and shifts attention to whether Bitcoin's momentum can carry beyond the month.
The two-to-four-week lag between a September top and the visible October drawdown is what makes this a position-sizing calendar, not a trigger calendar.
Comparing 2026 against 2022 and 2018 puts the drawdown right at the average for prior midterm years, and the window for a low lines up between July and October.
Three of the last three midterm years printed their equity top in August or September after a shallow June dip and a July rally, a pattern the S&P looks on track to repeat heading into late Q3.
The print undershot consensus across both headline and core, but the analyst argues the tape is tracking the 2018 cycle template rather than repricing for cuts.
Seasonality data going back to the 1960s puts the average midterm-year bottom in early July, and the bull-market support band near $3,800 has not been tagged since 2023.
A decade of Independence Day closes shows BTC long-term dollar appreciation, a 2022 mid-bear bottom, and a 2026 retrace to $62K that erases last year's peak.
The channel frames the ~5% June dip as the textbook midterm-year opener, with a low-volume summer drift higher likely before a 10-20% second-leg drop that could double as a cycle reset for Bitcoin…
DOGE enters mid-2026 carrying nine straight red Junes and an average monthly loss of 7.29%, with RSI still neutral and the next support sitting 6% below current price.
Gold is trading around $4,000 an ounce after a roughly 28% drawdown from its early-2026 peak, and on average the metal…
BTC is testing the 100-day MA just days before the April 29 FOMC, with stablecoin dominance hovering at the bull market support band — a configuration that historically preceded deeper retests of the…