Bitcoin corrections began on Sept. 19 in 2014 and Sept. 21 in 2018. The next Federal Reserve meeting is set for Sept. 16, with markets pricing a 57% chance of a rate hike and a 43% chance of no change.
Why it matters
Those dates put the Fed decision close to the start of two historical Bitcoin corrections. For traders, the policy call is therefore a near-term event risk, while the historical pattern offers a timing signal rather than proof of a repeat.
Market impact
The bearish case is for another correction around the Sept. 16 meeting, echoing 2014 and 2018. Investors will be watching whether Bitcoin weakens in that window, rather than treating the 57% forecast as a certainty.
Frequently asked questions
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Which years saw the correction dates highlighted in the comparison?
The comparison highlights 2014 and 2018, when corrections began on Sept. 19 and Sept. 21, respectively.
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What date is the next Federal Reserve meeting?
The next Federal Reserve meeting is set for Sept. 16.
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How are markets split on the Fed's next decision?
Markets price a 57% chance of a rate hike and a 43% chance of no change.
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Why is the Fed meeting a near-term event risk for Bitcoin?
It falls close to the dates when the 2014 and 2018 Bitcoin corrections began, making the policy call a key timing window.
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Does the historical timing guarantee another Bitcoin correction?
No. The historical comparison is a timing signal and bearish risk marker, not proof that history will repeat.
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